Volume 2
Short Communication: Can Game-theoretic Context Improve the Complex System Safety and Reliability Analysis Methods?
Authors
Mohammad Yazdi, Parastoo Shafie
Abstract
In this short communication work, we try to answer the following question if the existing system safety and reliability analysis methods such as fault tree analysis (FTA) are robust and powerful in complex system safety, why they cannot correctly handle the system safety when there are multi number of opposing interests as conflicts. Our simple answer is that the present cannot address such critical circumstances in system maintainability, availability, reliability, and even more resilience. That is what we need to develop probabilistic methods underlying the game-theoretic context. First, the game theory result is based on an optimization model; thus, there is no requirement to validate the model as we have the optimum outcomes. Second, game theory enables decision-makers in system safety to take into account any potential conflicts, either to be direct or indirect. We provide a simple FTA example and show how the new concept can be applied initially.
Keyword: Uncertainty, Decision-making, Conflicts, System safety and reliability
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